Saturday, October 8, 2011

The Fellowship of God's Covenant People

Speaking of crazy, you ain't seen nothing yet!

Answers in Genesis is that loony Christian organization which runs the "Creation Museum" in Kentucky. They believe that the Earth is only 6,000 years old and that everything in the Bible, from the talking snake to Noah's Ark to Jonah living in the belly of a whale, is the literal truth.

But Answers in Genesis isn't crazy enough for this guy at the Fellowship of God's Covenant People. Read the whole sermon - A Few Answers to "Answers in Genesis" - if you want, but here are a few brief excerpts:
I am aware of the forces supporting “Answers in Genesis”, these being the same powers that are supporting similar multi-cultural anti-Christian organizations such as Alpha, Promise Keepers, The Full Gospel Businessmen’s Association, Billy Graham ministries, producers of many modern Bible versions, and a multitude of other ministries.  These forces are the anti-Christian powers seeking One World Government under man, not God.  The essence of my criticism is to show that “Answers in Genesis” supports the humanistic and unbiblical “Brotherhood of Man” doctrine (which also is a Hindu/Roman Catholic/Masonic/Jewish/Judeo-Christian and World-Church belief). ...

For instance, less than 60 years ago, mixed racial unions were illegal in most of the states in the United States and other White nations.  But now, they are tolerated as being supposedly within God’s plan.  Under the influence and promotion of the Jewish-Masonic-Papal-Communist/Socialist controlled governments and media, Western Christianity has succumbed to the approval of race mixing, and we will be looking at what is behind this.  The Bible abounds with evidence of God’s clear will that the races be separate in every way.  “Answers in Genesis” mould all its answers around Judeo-Christian doctrines and traditions, and claims a different basis and definition of “race” from that which the Bible gives.  Furthermore, there is evidence of Jewish Talmudic sources, or of what the Apostle Paul calls “Jewish fables”.  ...

Even in the United States, interracial marriages were strictly forbidden, until the invention of the “marriage license” a little over a hundred years ago.  They fail to mention this in their books.  I wonder why?

They fail to mention what kind of children will be produced by the mixed race marriages! They are bastards and the Bible says that any “bastard shall not enter into the congregation of the LORD….” (Deuteronomy 23:2a).  No wonder the prophet Ezra cried so bitterly when he heard the kingdom of Judah was guilty of committing this sin. (Ezra 9).  This is totally omitted in the writings by “Answers In Genesis.”

“Answers In Genesis” is really an organization that just gives the answers from ONLY chapters 1-11 in Genesis.  It stops at the end of Chapter 11; right before the covenant made with father Abraham, Isaac and Jacob/Israel.  ...

“Answers in Genesis” has given its followers the same solution to the racism problem that the Jewish Talmudism/Communism/Humanism antichristian movements all give:  Intermarry till there is only one color – the brown man.  No Israel left.  All are destroyed because of their mating out of their race – just like what happened before Noah’s flood.

 Does anyone have the ability to think anymore?  If in the Christian era it was wrong to have a non-Israelite to be the pastor, missionary, teacher, deacon, member, etc. of their church, and then were all the people in the past wrong! If it was wrong to have a woman be the pastor, missionary, teacher over men in their church, then were all the people in the past wrong!  If it was wrong to have the people of the United States forbidden by law to interracially marry, then were all the people in the past wrong! “Answers In Genesis” says that they were all wrong.

“Answers In Genesis” is a very dangerous organization for they teach our race to commit suicide by practicing miscegenation.  And do you know why?  Do you know their little secret?  Most of the leaders of this organization have already committed race-mixing; for they are married to a wife or husband of another race!

"Does anyone have the ability to think anymore?" Heh, heh. OK, yeah, I said this was crazy, didn't I? But what's wrong with it? He is, after all, taking his examples out of the Bible. (I skipped those parts, but you can read the whole thing, if you want.)

Answers in Genesis also takes its beliefs from the Bible, of course. So how are you going to decide which to believe? The fact is, whether you believe the Fellowship of God's Covenant People or Answers in Genesis or your own, no-doubt more rational religion, it's all a matter of faith. Heck, for that matter, the 9/11 terrorists were entirely faith-based, themselves.

This is the problem with faith-based, rather than evidence-based, thinking. These people think the same way other religious believers think. They may believe different things, but they've got no better - and no worse - reason for believing them.

Evidence-based thinkers have to remain grounded in the real world at least to some extent. But faith-based thinkers don't. And you can hardly criticize faith-based thinking if that's what you use yourself. Scientists come to a consensus, because science is evidence-based. But religions never will, because it's all a matter of belief.

Some of that belief is crazier than others, true. But even the most rational faith-based thinking is fundamentally flawed. It's easier to see with the real crazies, that's all.

Bryan Fischer: baseball fans prevented another 9/11



Crazy, isn't it? I really have to wonder why we're spending so much money on our military and in the Department of Homeland Security, if a bunch of sports fans singing "God Bless America" once a week can protect us.

Note that this isn't just some isolated loon. He's speaking at the "Values Voters Summit," which Republican presidential candidates are falling all over themselves to appease.

Yes, to Republicans, this is an important loon. This is the Republican base. Oh, they might not all be this crazy, but they're all pretty crazy. Why do you think he's a featured speaker there?

The Values Voters Summit knew exactly what it was getting, too, because this is far from the only crazy thing Fischer has said. Check this out:
Bryan Fischer argued this week that the Founding Fathers really didn’t intend for the First Amendment to apply to Mormons. “My argument all along has been that the purpose of the First Amendment is to protect the free exercise of the Christian religion,” he said. [Funny how Jesus Christ isn't even mentioned in the Constitution, isn't it? But there are specific prohibitions against religious tests for office.]

“Mormonism is not an orthodox Christian faith. It’s just is not. They have a different Gospel, they have a completely different definition of who Christ is and so forth, I mean, the list could be multiplied endlessly,” Fischer continued. “And it was very clear that the Founding Fathers did not intend to preserve automatically religious liberty for non-Christian faiths, so when Mormonism came along, they practiced polygamy, they believed in polygamy, just like Muslims do today.” ...

Fischer also believes that Muslims have no First Amendment rights, and has argued that the U.S. should have “no more mosques, period,” because “every single mosque is a potential terror training center or recruitment center for jihad.”

Fischer’s not a particularly big fan of gays and lesbians either. He’s previously written that the U.S. should impose “legal sanctions for homosexual behavior” and claimed that Hitler used gay soldiers because they “basically had no limits and the savagery and brutality they were willing to inflict on whomever Hitler sent them after.”

But the list of things that Bryan Fischer hates goes on from there, and gets a little strange. He’s said that it’s time for this country to get rid of the “curse” that is the grizzly bear. He’s argued that the Medal of Honor has been “feminized” because “we now award it only for preventing casualties, not for inflicting them.” He’s outraged that Indian-Americans win a lot of spelling bees because it’s an “outrageous display of ethnic favoritism.” And he’s pretty sure that President Obama wants to give the U.S. back to the Native Americans.

As I noted, these are the people Republican politicians must keep happy. Even Mitt Romney, a Mormon himself, spoke at this conference. This isn't a tiny fringe group, not in the GOP. For all intents and purposes, this is the GOP.

In the Republican Party, the inmates have taken control of the asylum. If you're still voting Republican after all this, you must be as crazy as they are!

The first reptile with a placenta


Excerpts from New Scientist:
In evolution, as in life, some things are easier than others. It seems to be pretty straightforward to evolve complex eyes, which have turned up dozens of times.

Similarly, for some groups of animals it's easy to stop laying eggs and start giving birth to live young. Backboned animals have evolved live birth no fewer than 132 times, and nowadays a fifth of lizards and snakes give birth. Human mothers may disagree, but live birth is clearly not that difficult.

What is difficult, however, is nourishing unborn young the way mammals do. A female mammal allows each embryo to burrow deep into the wall of her womb, where it takes nutrients straight from her blood. This intimate arrangement was long thought to have only evolved once, in mammals.

Not so. It now appears that it evolved at least twice: once in mammals, and once in an obscure African lizard called Trachylepis ivensii. ...

All live-bearing reptiles have a basic placenta, but unlike its mammalian counterpart the embryo doesn't get much food that way. It can't: although it nestles up against the oviduct wall, the embryo remains inside a remnant of eggshell that acts as a barrier. Instead, it is nourished by a large yolk.

A very few reptiles, including T. ivensii, break this rule. Their eggs are small, with little yolk, so they must get lots of food from their mothers via the placenta. But only T. ivensii allows the embryo to implant itself in the oviduct wall. "It's unprecedented," Blackburn says. ...

But the arrangement has its problems, Blackburn says. An embryo in close contact with its mother's blood risks being attacked by her immune system. Male embryos could also be "feminised" by her sex hormones. That might explain why full-scale placental feeding has evolved so rarely.

The only reptiles that come close to T. ivensii belong to a South American skink called Mabuya. Their placentas are complex and transfer plenty of nutrients, and there is some evidence of embryonic cells being able to invade the oviduct wall in a limited way. Another African species, Eumecia anchietae, also feeds its young entirely through its placenta.

Neither shows as much intimacy as T. ivensii, however, and Blackburn also says their placentas are "fundamentally different". That may mean placental feeding has evolved in skinks not once, but three times. Clearly, in evolutionary terms these reptiles have the knack.

Neat, isn't it? Clearly, science contains just as much wonder as pseudoscience. Plus, it's true. And for me, that matters.

Friday, October 7, 2011

Colbert's apology to Ham Rove

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Indecision 2012 - I don't have facts to back this up

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I don't have facts to back this up, but I never expected Sarah Palin to run for the presidency. Heck, she couldn't even stick out a full term as Alaska's governor!

No, this was always about the money. As a celebrity, she needed to keep herself in the limelight. And that extra million dollars in SarahPAC will probably come in handy, too.

The only reason she might have even considered it is if she saw America's attention going elsewhere. After all, if you've got such loons as Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry running for president, why would the media still need the Palins?

Regarding Herman Cain, well, "I don't have facts to back this up" should be the new Republican Party campaign slogan.

Thursday, October 6, 2011

Dispatches from the vaccine wars

From the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette:
By age 6, children should have vaccinations against 14 diseases, in at least two dozen separate doses, the U.S. government advises. More than 1 in 10 parents reject that, refusing some shots or delaying others mainly because of safety concerns, a national survey found.

Worries about vaccine safety were common even among parents whose kids were fully vaccinated: 1 in 5 among that group said they think delaying shots is safer than the recommended schedule. The results suggest that more than 2 million infants and young children may not be fully protected against preventable diseases, including some that can be deadly or disabling. ...

Kandace O'Neill is a Lakeville, Minn., mom whose views are shared by many parents who don't follow federal vaccine advice. Her 5-year-old son has had no vaccinations since he turned 1, and her 7-month-old daughter has received none of the recommended shots.

"I have to make sure that my child is healthy, and I do not want to put medications in my child that I think are going to harm them," said Ms. O'Neill, who was not involved in the survey appearing in Pediatrics.

Ms. O'Neill said she's not an extreme anti-vaccine zealot. She just thinks that parents -- not doctors or schools -- should make medical decisions for their children.

Parents should make these decisions. Well, at first glance, that sounds reasonable, doesn't it? But on what are they basing those decisions? Are they doctors? Are they medical researchers?

If you don't base these decisions on the overwhelming scientific consensus, then on what are you basing them? Why do you have more expertise than medical professionals? Did you have to get a thorough education in biology and medicine before you were allowed to become a parent?

Study author Amanda Dempsey, a pediatrician and University of Michigan researcher, said vaccine skepticism is fueled by erroneous information online and media reports that sensationalize misconceptions. These include the persistent belief among some parents about an autism-vaccine link, despite scientific evidence to the contrary and the debunking of one of the most publicized studies that first fueled vaccine fears years ago.

Some parents also dismiss the severity of vaccine-preventable diseases because they have never seen a child seriously ill with those illnesses.

But vaccine-preventable diseases including flu and whooping cough can be deadly, especially in infants, said Buddy Creech, associate director of Vanderbilt University's Vaccine Research Program. Dr. Creech has two school-aged children who are fully vaccinated and a newborn he said will be given all the recommended vaccinations.

If you were just putting your own children at risk, I suppose you could argue that that's your right. We don't, as it turns out, let parents recklessly endanger even their own children, and I, for one, wouldn't want to change that. But for the sake of argument, let's give them that.

However, skipping vaccinations doesn't just endanger your own children, but other children, too. Children too young for vaccinations rely on herd immunity for their safety. When too many children skip their vaccinations, infants die.

Also, vaccines aren't magic. They don't always protect every single individual as they should. Your child may have received his vaccinations, yet still be at risk of disease, just because of an atypical response. That child, too, depends on herd immunity, the fact that most people are vaccinated, so the disease can't get established in his community.

Any way you look at it, skipping vaccinations puts your child and other children in danger. It doesn't make any difference if you're a parent or not, your gut isn't a good way to make these decisions. And neither is browsing the internet until you find something you want to believe.

You may, after all, find some video or article that sounds really plausible. But how are you to judge that? Even doctors depend on medical research, and they don't - not if they're smart, at least - choose to believe some lone researcher who disagrees with the consensus.

He could be right, of course, but it's far more likely that the vast majority of scientists are right, instead. After all, that scientific consensus is based on evidence - peer-reviewed and independently-duplicated evidence.

Accepting the scientific consensus is the only rational move in issues like this. The scientific consensus could always be wrong - and all scientists understand that - but you've got to understand that it's far more likely to be right than any other way of making decisions.

The Kalām cosmological argument

Caught: another fradulent voter!

(Chattanooga Times Free Press)

From ThinkProgress:
Swept up in the craze of preventing widespread voter fraud that doesn’t actually exist, Tennessee Republicans passed a voter identification law this year that they claimed would put an end to fraud and ensure fair elections. Like similar laws in other states, Tennessee’s version has come under scrutiny from voting rights advocates, civil rights groups like the NAACP and ACLU, and even Democratic senators, who oppose the laws because they will disenfranchise poor, elderly, and minority voters who are less likely to have photo IDs.

The state now has evidence that that will be the case. Dorothy Cooper, a 96-year-old Chattanooga resident who says she has voted in every election but one since she became eligible to vote, wanted to ensure she’d have the necessary ID to vote in next year’s elections, when Tennessee’s law goes into effect. But when she went to apply for the ID, she was denied, the Chattanooga Times Free Press reports:
That morning, Cooper slipped a rent receipt, a copy of her lease, her voter registration card and her birth certificate into a Manila envelope. Typewritten on the birth certificate was her maiden name, Dorothy Alexander.

“But I didn’t have my marriage certificate,” Cooper said Tuesday afternoon, and that was the reason the clerk said she was denied a free voter ID at the Cherokee Boulevard Driver Service Center.

“I don’t know what difference it makes,” Cooper said.

This is, of course, a deliberate attempt to disenfranchise Democratic-leaning constituencies such as racial minorities, students, and the poor. According to this report, up to five million Democratic voters could be affected. And all without any evidence of significant voter fraud at all.

Coincidentally, my 85-year-old mother was turned away when she tried to renew her drivers license this week, because she didn't have enough forms of ID to prove who she was. (Her existing license, and the fact that she's had a license from this state for longer than I've been alive, wasn't good enough.)

If that had been just voter identification, she wouldn't have bothered going back. Let's face it, American voter participation is bad enough as it is. If you make people jump through more hoops, you'll discourage voting. And that's exactly what the Republicans are trying to do.

Parks and demonstration

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To begin with, I thought it was both funny and accurate that the media has only two settings, "blackout" and "circus." That's exactly how it seems, isn't it?

Then there's: "This group is a laughable gang of disorganized, confused... Nazis. This is an ill-disciplined,... highly-trained,... weed-smoking,... fascist organization." And, of course, it's nothing like the Tea Party, right? Because the Tea Party never camped in a city park!

In fact, these people "really don't like freedom." Oh, well, that's Fox "News" for you.

Yes, these protestors are disorganized. They don't have a single message. They don't have a particular dogma or follow a particular charismatic leader. But that's a bad thing?

We're supposed to have leaders. (And I thought we were getting a pretty charismatic one in the White House a couple of years ago.)  I don't look to mobs - even those I sympathize with - for leadership. But peaceful protest? I just wonder why it's taken us so long.

You don't have to agree with them. But certainly if you praise the Tea Party protests, there's no way you can rationally criticize what's happening here. These are just Americans exercising their constitutional rights.

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Bad lip reading: Michele Bachmann



Wow, even Michele Bachmann is starting to make more sense these days! And I thought it was surprising for Rick Perry...

A third-party run for Sarah Palin?

At Conservatives4Palin, a columnist comes up with a plan:
Political parties always fear a rogue third party challenge for one big reason – it splits the votes. In the case of 2012, it is almost like handing President Obama a second term by default. This would certainly be the case if Sarah Palin left  the Republican tent and ran as an independent. But if she makes the “right choice,” she could split the votes to HER advantage.

With Sarah Palin competing as an Independent, the GOP nominee will most possibly be Mitt Romney, who with Romneycare and his flip-flopping and authenticity problems, infuriates the conservatives to their wits’ ends. The former Massachussetts governor is a favorite of the establishment, the elites  and Wall Street so he’ll clinch the nomination but will lose in the general election (because Sarah Palin will split the votes, remember?), thus giving Mr. Obama another four years in the White House. But the president has a lot of problems of his own. An AP-Gfak analysis of polls show him losing support from key groups of voters that propelled him to office in 2008 (whites, women, younger voters, and some liberals) but come November 6, 2012, the biggest bloc of his base, the African-Americans, will be there and pull the lever for him.

That is, unless, Gov. Palin decides to make a bold move that will split the votes – to pick a VP running mate who can take away votes from both Obama and Romney. Someone who is BOTH pro-business and black. Someone like Herman Cain (or any other black man or woman with private sector background whom Sarah Palin would  choose to pick). A pro-business running mate bring down votes for a corporate guy that is Mr. Romney. The black community will not abandon the first black president on election day unless the alternative is another brother in the ticket who knows – really knows – how to create jobs.

Sheer genius, isn't it? Obviously, black people vote for presidents on the basis of skin color, and Herman Cain is even blacker than Barack Obama! So how brilliant is this?

As the columnist notes, Obama has been losing support from the voters who propelled him to office in 2008 - whites, women, younger voters, and liberals. Wait,... whites? Oh, I guess it's only black people that vote by race, huh? And no doubt we white people have learned our lesson about that, haven't we?

Of course, women will automatically vote for another woman, and younger voters will no doubt decide to start listening to their elders. (Get off my lawn, you hippies!) That only leaves the liberals, who'll probably vote for Sarah Palin as a protest vote, don't you think?

Wow, what a plan! I'm sold! Go for it, Sarah!

PS. Hmm,... note that second link this columnist cites, which explains how Barack Obama, in 2008, "won the largest share of white support of any Democrat in a two-man race since 1976."  It further explains that black voters were only 13% of the electorate.

But hey, don't let that stop this marvelous plan! After all, reality has a well-known liberal bias.

Indecision 2012 - The great right hope

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Chris Christie is running for president, I suspect. But he's running for the 2016 race, not 2012. That's why he keeps showing up at the Reagan Library and other national political venues.

I don't like Christie's political positions, not at all. But I can certainly understand his appeal as a straight-talker. He seems to be refreshingly different from the usual measly-mouthed politician who's always so afraid of offending someone that he won't say anything at all.

On the other hand, Chris Christie doesn't have Fox "News" pouring over everything he says, trying to find something they can take out of context and just hammer into their viewers over and over and over again (and which every single Republican leader will then parrot mindlessly, as well). Unfortunately, most of us Americans seem to fall for that sleazy tactic every time.

Re. Mitt Romney, well, I'm not sure we should really call him a flip-flopper, because he's had one firm, overriding belief his entire adult life: the belief that Mitt Romney should be elected to political office. Everything else - and I mean everything - is negotiable. He'll be anything you want him to be, if it will just help him get elected.

Unfortunately, what Massachusetts wanted in a governor was the exact opposite of what the Republican base wants in a president. But Romney is trying his damnedest to convince the Tea Party loons that he never meant anything he said back then and that, in any case, he's a true believer now in whatever crazy shit they want him to believe.

But keep in mind that John McCain had a similar problem, and he solved it just like Romney is trying to do today, by running just as hard as he could to the right, and away from his record. Once he got the nomination, he picked the looniest far-right nut he could find as a running mate, and the Republican base fell into line.

That will happen this time, too, if Romney gets the nomination. The Republican base is so afraid of our first black president, that "Kenyan Muslim socialist" - you can just look at him and tell that he's not a "real" American - that it really won't matter who's nominated, not for them. But Romney will still have to throw them as many bones as he can.

Honestly, at any other time, the 2012 election would clearly be a landslide for the Democrats. I mean, can you believe the people they're trying to nominate for the presidency? And this is after the complete and unmitigated disaster of the last Republican president, less than four years ago. Who in the world would vote for a Republican after that?

But most Americans vote only with their feelings, and right now, they're scared. They've got more misinformation than real knowledge, if they pay any attention to these things at all. When they're hurting economically, they tend to blame the president, even when he took office after the economy collapsed,... and even when the Republicans have been doing their best to actively sabotage the recovery.

I'm not trying to imply that Barack Obama has done everything right, of course not. But where he's gone wrong is in trying to appease the right-wing, instead of giving us that change most of his supporters wanted. At any rate, whatever you think about Obama, he's so far and away a saner option than any Republican that it's just hard to imagine that the election is even in doubt.

Well, to thrive, a modern democracy needs an intelligent, informed, and active citizenry. And we Americans just can't seem to manage all three of those things at the same time. I fear for my country.

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

The blue screen of near-death


Yeah, I wish!

Surviving the Creation Evidence Expo 2011

Here's a humorous post about the 7th annual "Creation Evidence Expo" in Indianapolis. It couldn't be more obvious that this isn't about science, and certainly not about evidence, but only a matter of the political and personal faith of the religious right - complete with black rubber fetuses and a replica of Noah's Ark.

I won't try to summarize it, but here's an excerpt (note that there are two separate writers here, Louise and Don):
The first speaker up was an 82 year old woman who they introduced as being up there because they realized they needed a woman speaker. She began her speech by telling us that she had no credentials and her speech was basically taken from some book. I can’t really tell you what her speech was about as they had the microphone too far from her and her mispronunciation of words became incredibly distracting. What I did gather was that the Creation Evidence Expo will help you become a “free thinker” and that you can’t have sex with other species and produce offspring.

Don says: This woman was truly baffling herself with bullshit. As Louise said, she admitted that her speech was drawn almost exclusively from some guy's book and boy did it show. She very clearly did not know the meanings of the words she was using. Large swaths of her speech were dedicated to homology and Jack Chick-style strawmen thereof ("Ignorant, evil evolutionist teachers use circular reasoning to prove homology!"), a concept with which I do not believe for a damn second she was remotely familiar. Especially since she consistently pronounced the word "homologous" as "homolojuss." She talked a lot about DNA using words that only few laypeople understand and appreciate and she, given her flat delivery (she was reading from some dude's book, remember) was not among that number. She said that being creationists made people "critical thinkers" against the "dogma" and "orthodoxy" of "Darwinism." This is an excellent example of how good the religious right is at coopting the language of the opposition and using it against them.

She talked about lifeways and world systems and oppression and freeing one's mind and overall reminded me a little bit of an idiot creationist version of bell hooks.

After she was finished the MC praised her as "Just a mother, not a scientist" who only wanted the best for our kids. Apparently being a mother confers intellectual authority over vaccinations and the origins and development of life.

In between speakers a choir sang for us. The good news is they had a nice sound; the bad news is they only knew one song and sang it twice in a row. Turns out the choir and their parents accounted for about half of the audience. After they sang they all left.

Note that the post isn't all humor (not that it's actually funny that people like this are still trying to get religion - their own, of course - taught in public schools). Louise did give credit where credit was due. These aren't evil people, just ignorant and entirely faith-based.

Monday, October 3, 2011

Ronald Reagan supports Barack Obama



Funny, huh? Clearly, Ronald Reagan wouldn't have a chance at the nomination in today's Republican Party. He'd be lucky if he wasn't tarred and feathered and driven from the GOP in disgrace.

I was no fan of Reagan, but even he wasn't as crazy as today's Republicans. It's just incredible, isn't it?

That used to be... wait, that IS us

Here's an interesting review in The New York Times of a new book by Thomas L. Friedman and Michael Mandelbaum, That Used to Be Us. But what's most interesting to me is what it tells us about the authors - or at least about the reviewer.

I'm not familiar with Michael Mandelbaum, but I've always enjoyed Thomas L. Friedman's writing. Still, I remember that he was a big supporter of the Iraq War. But he was still a guy I could respect even when I disagreed with him.

The reviewer, Walter Russell Mead, is editor at large at The American Interest, a magazine which split off from The National Interest in 2005. According to Wikipedia, "This split was seen as representative of a larger schism among Republicans and the end of an uneasy alliance between neoconservatives and realists that had characterized the Reagan years."

What does this mean? Well, I haven't read the book, so I don't know if this review presents it fairly or not. But the reviewer, at least - and I suspect the authors, too - seems to fit a clear pattern I've seen of conservatives who argue against the far-right loons who've completely taken over the Republican Party, but... still can't bring themselves to say anything good about the Democrats.

Note this line, for example:
The authors provide a thoughtful and balanced corrective to critics on the left who believe that our present economic troubles demonstrate the fundamental failure of the liberal democratic capitalist ideas on which American society is built, and the critics on the right who believe that only a return to 19th-century small government policies can save us.

Note that those "critics on the right" control the Republican Party. But where are those "critics on the left"? They do exist, of course, but they're a tiny minority in America, and they've got no power at all in the Democratic Party. In fact, they've never controlled the party, and it's actually moved to the right in recent decades.

Yesterday, I posted about Elizabeth Warren, who's really been thrilling progressives lately. But even her positions aren't anywhere close to those supposed "critics on the left." But this reviewer is so eager to present this "both sides are at fault" theme that he ignores that huge difference. I don't know if the book does that, too, but I really suspect that it does. This is very typical of moderate conservatives these days.

Note this part, too:
But the authors of this book also have uncomfortable words for Democrats. Hamiltonians historically believed in sound government finance and efficient administration. This is not the kind of talk that public sector labor unions and partisans of the entitlement state like to hear.

Say what? Democrats don't believe in "sound government finance and efficient administration"? Heh, heh. Note that it was a Democratic Congress which passed the first pay-as-you-go rules in 1990, requiring that new spending or tax cuts be offset, so as not to increase the federal deficit. (President George H.W. Bush signed the law, which got him in trouble with the far-right loons in his party. Republicans in Congress opposed it.)

Those rules expired in 2002, and the Republicans - by then, controlling all three branches of the federal government - refused to renew them. The budget deficit then ballooned out of control. When the Democrats eventually took control again, they reinstated those rules, at first as a rule in the House of Representatives (which Republicans cancelled when they took over last fall), then as a statutory bill in 2010.

These efforts were far from perfect - indeed, I would never imply that the Democrats are perfect - but the evidence shows pretty well that the Democratic Party was pretty much the only party worried about "sound government finance and efficient administration" for at least the past couple of decades now. For the Republicans, as Dick Cheney said, "Reagan proved deficits don't matter."

These days, of course, deficits do matter to the Republicans, but only as a political tool. It's funny how deficits only matter when there's a Democratic president, isn't it? Of course, that's just their rhetoric, since at the same time, they're doing everything they can to cut taxes on the rich and increase the deficit even more.

But my point is that moderate Republicans just can't bring themselves to praise the Democrats, let alone to switch parties, even when the Democratic Party has moved to the right itself - and taken pretty much the exact same positions they advocate!

This article in The Washington Post shows that, too, this time with moderate conservatives - and yes, Thomas L. Friedman is one of them - calling for a third party:
Calling for a third party is a quick and easy way to get yourself booked for a round of cable TV appearances. But many of those calling for a third party are refusing to reckon with an inconvenient fact: One of the two parties already occupies the approximate ideological space that these commentators themselves are describing as the dream middle ground that allegedly can only be staked out by a third party.

That party is known as the “Democratic Party,” and it already holds many of the positions these commentators want a third party to espouse. ...

Here, for instance, is my Post colleague Matt Miller, offering up a well-imagined speech that a third party presidential candidate might give:
How’s this for something different? I want to raise your taxes, cut spending on programs you like, and force you to rethink how we run our schools, banks, armies, hospitals and elections. And I want you to cheer when I’m done. ...

Democrats and Republicans will tell you, as I do, that they want to make America competitive again, keep faith with our deepest values of fairness and opportunity, and fix our broken political system. But the Democrats’ timid half-measures and the Republicans’ mindless anti-government creed can’t begin to get us there.

It’s hard to see how this constitutes “something different.” After all, a major presidential candidate has already said this. His name is Barack Obama, and he’s currently the President — you know, the guy who’s running for reelection. He has repeatedly called for a mix of tax hikes and spending cuts as the only way out of our fiscal mess. Indeed, Obama explicitly said during his Twitter town hall that fixing our fiscal situation will require cutting spending “on programs I like,” using language almost identical to Miller’s imagined third party candidate. Call that just talk if you will, but Obama and Dems already agree to $1 trillion in cuts as part of the debt ceiling deal, and they’ve already agreed that entitlements cuts will be on the table during the supercommittee deliberations on the deficit.

By contrast, the other major political party in America — the GOP — is not open to any kind of balance between tax hikes and spending cuts. Even if you think Dems are not going far enough in their call for spending and entitlement cuts, it’s still a fact that only one of the two parties already is calling for, and has already agreed to, the general concept that supposedly requires a third party candidate to ride to the rescue.

On health care, Miller envisions his third party candidate arguing the following: “Democrats must accept a private insurance industry and Republicans must accept that some people can’t afford decent policies on their own.” Not only have Democrats already “accepted a private insurance industry,” it’s the basis for the reform plan Dems already passed. That one is known as the “Affordable Care Act.” Has it solved all our problems? Of course not, but in many ways it’s a fundamentally centrist first stab at it.

On national security, Miller envisions his third party candidate claiming that “we need to be smart hawks.” But that’s exactly the stance Obama — who famously said he’s not opposed to “all wars,” only “dumb wars” — has adopted. Indeed, from the point of view of many liberals, his policies — on Afghanistan, civil liberties, and the war on terror — embody that stance to a fault.

In fairness to Miller, he has been one of the few commentators willing to call out GOP extremism and intransigence on taxes for what it is. And there are far worse offenders when it comes to the calls for a third party. Tom Friedman has repeatedly called for a third party because, he opines, we need “spending cuts, increases in revenues and investments in the sources of our strength.” In the real world, that’s an endorsement of the Democratic position. ...

Let’s face it: At bottom, the calls for a third party are founded on a dodge — a refusal to acknowledge that the Democratic Party is far closer than the GOP to occupying the fabled ideological middle that they themselves have defined as the space that only a third party can claim.

Now, I think I'm to the left of most of the Democratic Party today (probably close to Elizabeth Warren's positions, though), but even I haven't abandoned "liberal democratic capitalist ideas." And I certainly believe in "sound government finance and efficient administration."

Our problems in America do not stem from opposing extremes, but rather that one side - the Republicans, the right-wing - has gone completely off the rails.

Of course, moderate conservatives should have seen that coming. The Republican Party's "Southern strategy" of appealing to white racists - a very cynical, but highly successful, political move to take the South from the Democrats after the 1964 Civil Rights Act - filled the party with fearful white Bible-thumping bigots.

Mainstream Republicans thought they'd use those people, but to do that, they had to continue to throw them bones. And since they weren't just racists, there were other positions which appealed to them, too. So the Republican Party started abandoning the separation of church and state, started abandoning environmental protection, started abandoning even reasonable gun control laws.

These things lost them the Northeast, which had previously been a Republican stronghold, but by political calculations alone - at least in the short-term - the Southern strategy was clearly beneficial. At the national level, Republicans have pretty well dominated in America for decades, with only temporary setbacks from even such complete disasters as Richard Nixon and George W. Bush.

But the "Tea Party" tail started wagging the Republican dog. Mainstream Republicans thought to use the loons, but the loons became too powerful. Now, the loons are the Republican base. And when extremists take control, you just can't be too extreme. The biggest danger in the Republican Party these days is being seen as "moderate." That's the kiss of death for a GOP politician.

And so we get moderate conservatives bemoaning what's become of their party,... but they still can't bring themselves to say anything good about the Democrats. It could be funny, I suppose. But I really can't laugh, because when you get right down to it, I'll bet these people will still support the loons.

Unfortunately, this isn't a rebellion by the remaining sane Republicans (however many that might be). That's what we need. Instead, it's just grumbling by some increasingly impotent conservatives, people who went along with sucking up to the crazies - the racists, the religious fundamentalists, the gun nuts, the fearful anti-immigrant cowards - instead of abandoning the GOP when that became the official policy.

Even today, if sane Republicans started abandoning the party en masse, the loons would go back to being just a fringe element in the GOP. And if they won't do that, well, they're still aiding and abetting what's happening, no matter how much they moan about it.

Hey, the Democrats aren't any great prize. You don't have to tell me about their faults. But they're still reasonably sane, at least, which isn't something you can say about the Republicans.

I guess I've become a pretty staunch Democrat these days just because they're the only real alternative. And, well, I do have to give them credit for Social Security, Medicare, the 1964 Civil Rights Act, and pretty much everything progressive that's happened in America for the past century.

But they're not perfect. If you want perfect,... well, good luck with that.

Thank God for journalists

Sunday, October 2, 2011

A voice of reason amid the madness

I haven't spent much time at the Al Jazeera website, but I've been favorably impressed when checking out some of the links from there I've received. And here's another one.

It's an opinion column about Elizabeth Warren, the Harvard law professor who's running for the U.S. Senate in Massachusetts. I posted a video clip of her last month, which showed her speaking the very words which begin this piece:
"I hear all this, 'well, this is class warfare, this is whatever'. No. There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own. Nobody. You built a factory out there? Good for you. But I want to be clear:

You moved your goods to market on the roads the rest of us paid for; you hired workers the rest of us paid to educate; you were safe in your factory because of police forces and fire forces that the rest of us paid for. You didn't have to worry that marauding bands would come and seize everything at your factory, and hire someone to protect against this, because of the work the rest of us did." - Elizabeth Warren

With those words, Elizabeth Warren cemented her reputation as a person who knows how to speak to Americans about progressive values in a way that seems to have eluded almost every other public figure in America. There's just something about the way she talks in plain prairie English that makes people listen - and scares even the most hardened businessman and compromised politician into paying attention.

Now she's declared her candidacy in Massachusetts, hoping to parlay that ability into a seat in the most powerful big money club in America, the US Senate, and make them listen too.

Her pitch is a modern day populism, aimed at the struggling middle class, the people who are dazed and confused by 30 years of conservative cant and free market policy that hasn't worked for them as its been put into practice. She's refined a story line about how this happened that's both erudite and approachable, using her own history and scholarly work to weave a narrative about America's economic crisis that speaks to people's yearning to understand what happened - and feel some optimism that it can be turned around.

Later, the column gets to some statistics that should make every American wince:
She points out that it was three specific laws that came out of the Great Depression that changed all of that and set the stage for the longest run of uninterrupted prosperity in the nation's history: FDIC Insurance, Glass-Steagel and the SEC.

And she points out that when those regulations began to erode, productivity and wages started their great divergence and the middle class began to fray around the edges. By 2011, that fraying has become a full blown unraveling. Here are just a few random statistics compiled by businessinsider.com:

- 61 per cent of Americans "always or usually" live paycheck to paycheck, which was up from 49 per cent in 2008 and 43 percent in 2007

- 66 per cent of the income growth between 2001 and 2007 went to the top 1 per cent of Americans

- 43 per cent of Americans have less than $10,000 saved for retirement

- 24 per cent of American workers say that they have postponed their planned retirement age

- Only the top 5 per cent of US households earned enough to match the rise in housing costs since 1975

- In 1950, the ratio of the average executive's paycheck to the average worker's paycheck was about 30 to 1; since the year 2000, that ratio has exploded to between 300 and 500 to 1

- The bottom 50 per cent of income earners in the US now collectively own less than 1 per cent of the nation's wealth

- More than 40 per cent of Americans who are actually employed are now working in service jobs, which are often low paying

Is it any wonder that Warren has quickly developed a following?
But Warren's message is a potent one, expressing progressive values in terms that are almost intoxicating to the base of the Democratic Party, hungry as they are for someone to take up the cause of the American middle class, workers and families who are being unbearably squeezed and yet asked to give even more - even as the wealthy fatuously declare themselves to be "job creators" and therefore absolved of any duty to pay their fair share. [my emphasis]

Warren ended the comments I quoted at the beginning with these words:

"Now look, you built a factory and it turned into something terrific? Or a great idea? God bless. Keep a big hunk of it. But part of the underlying social contract is you take a hunk of that and pay forward for the next kid who comes along."

The last thirty years of free market fetishism and crony capitalism have perverted that bedrock American ideal to something twisted and perverse. Warren is clearing out the cobwebs for a lot of people and giving them a different way of thinking about this problem.

In 2008, I'd hoped that this was the message we'd be hearing for four years - or eight - from President Obama. Remember all that talk about change? But Obama was so desperate to get along with Republicans that he nearly abandoned his own side.

And for what? What did all that groveling get him? For two and a half years, Republicans have had free reign to set the narrative entirely their way, because we haven't had anyone arguing our side. Barack Obama had the biggest bully pulpit in the world, but he simply refused to use it. (And when he did, he was more likely to adopt right-wing talking points than progressive ones.)

How did that work out for him? How did that work out for the Democratic Party? How did that work out for America?


I don't know if Obama has learned his lesson. And even if he has, it's probably too little, too late. Well, we've started to hear some good things from him, so I'll keep my fingers crossed.

But it's no wonder that Warren's message has fallen on fallow ground, don't you think?

Class warfare













Saturday, October 1, 2011

The problem with libertarians



This is my biggest problem with libertarians, that they tend to be fanatics. I suppose I could understand a moderate leaning towards libertarianism, but I'm not sure there are any moderate libertarians. Certainly, the only ones I seem to encounter are those who follow their beloved philosophy to its most absurd conclusions.

I wouldn't be even a moderate libertarian myself, because I recognize that we are social animals. We live in groups. We always have. And so we've always needed some degree of organization - government - to maintain the peace and, generally, to keep the strongest (who are not necessarily the smartest) from completely dominating everyone else.

Governments are not always bad! Indeed, governments are necessary. Maybe we should have the smallest government we need, but no smaller than that. The loons who want to shrink America's government until it can be drowned in a bathtub are loons.

Even the most primitive tribes had a kind of "government," if only a set of customs they followed. But as our numbers increased, and as our societies became more diverse, we needed bigger governments. Well, societies which didn't do that were generally conquered by those which did. Either way, bigger governments were necessary.

And that's still the case. We are far wealthier today than we've ever been, and more peaceful, too. So now we're supposed to throw this all away for some pipe-dream philosophy, especially when the major proponents show no common sense at all? Forget that!