Sunday, November 21, 2010

The partisan game


What will Republicans risk in order to make Barack Obama look bad? How far are they willing to go? Is there any point at which common sense might kick in, causing Republicans to hesitate at sabotaging America, as a friend of mine puts it, just to make Obama's position more difficult?

How about nuclear armageddon? Should Republicans risk that, just for political advantage? After all, the first START treaty was proposed by Ronald Reagan, who's still revered in the GOP. (Yes, I know that Reagan would be far too "moderate" for today's Republican Party.) It was signed five months before the breakup of the Soviet Union, at which point it became even more critical, as a way to keep nuclear weapons out of the hands of terrorists.

START 1 expired in December last year, but the new START treaty was signed by President Obama and Russian president Dmitry Medvedev this past April. The U.S. Senate has already held 18 hearings on the treaty, and Obama worked with Republican negotiators to make sure their concerns were met. Now Republicans want to delay a vote on the treaty, as a way of weakening the president and keeping him from a foreign policy victory. But this is a serious, serious issue - too serious for partisan political games, wouldn't you think?


Here's how Ed Stein puts it:
Once upon a time, the United States and Russia negotiated arms reduction treaties that reduced the threat of nuclear war and helped build a growing trust between the two old Cold War adversaries. Presidents negotiated the terms and Congresses ratified the treaties by the 2/3 majority needed, and all was well. That was then. It has been a year since the last weapons treaty with Russia expired, and with it the regime of verification and inspection that made the thing work. Relations with Russia became increasingly increasingly strained during the Bush years, and one of Obama’s foreign policy objectives was to restore that relationship. President Obama has negotiated a new treaty, called New Start, which calls for steep reductions in warheads and missiles, and a verification system similar to that of the old Start treaty. The White House had counted on at least a dozen Republicans to vote for the new treaty, and discussions with the chief Republican Senate negotiator, Jon Kyl, seemed to indicate that passage was imminent. Then Kyl blindisded the White House, refusing, despite dozens of meetings in which all of his concerns evidently were met, to recommend voting for it. Republican support evaporated, leaving an important treaty in limbo.

We’ve seen this game played repeatedly as Republicans have decided to oppose anything that Obama wants. That is, after all, how they won the election. In the new politics of total obstruction, reducing nuclear stockpiles, restoring relations with Russia, re-engaging an essential partner in the campaign against nuclear proliferation, and making America and our allies safer in the process is, apparently, less important that handing Obama a foreign policy defeat.

And now, the U.S. intelligence community is telling Congress that we'll have to shift spy satellites away from Iraq and Afghanistan to try to cover Russia again, if the treaty remains in limbo.
The treaty, which was signed in April, would restore on-site inspections of Russian nuclear missile silos, bombers and submarines that have stopped since the old START expired in December. The new treaty also bars the Russians from interfering with or jamming spy satellites and restricts where various nuclear weapons can be located.


Of course, this isn't the only place where Republicans are putting partisan political advantage above the needs of our nation. They're desperately trying to keep our economy in a hole for precisely that reason, too.

Having shut off any chance at additional stimulus spending (supposedly out of concern for the deficit, although they have no qualms about hugely increasing the deficit to give tax cuts to the wealthy), they're even attacking the federal reserve as it tries to find some way of boosting our economy.

Here's Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman:
What do the government of China, the government of Germany and the Republican Party have in common? They’re all trying to bully the Federal Reserve into calling off its efforts to create jobs. And the motives of all three are highly suspect. ...

It’s no mystery why China and Germany are on the warpath against the Fed. Both nations are accustomed to running huge trade surpluses. But for some countries to run trade surpluses, others must run trade deficits — and, for years, that has meant us. The Fed’s expansionary policies, however, have the side effect of somewhat weakening the dollar, making U.S. goods more competitive, and paving the way for a smaller U.S. deficit. And the Chinese and Germans don’t want to see that happen.

For the Chinese government, by the way, attacking the Fed has the additional benefit of shifting attention away from its own currency manipulation, which keeps China’s currency artificially weak — precisely the sin China falsely accuses America of committing.

But why are Republicans joining in this attack?

Mr. Bernanke and his colleagues seem stunned to find themselves in the cross hairs. They thought they were acting in the spirit of none other than Milton Friedman, who blamed the Fed for not acting more forcefully during the Great Depression — and who, in 1998, called on the Bank of Japan to “buy government bonds on the open market,” exactly what the Fed is now doing. ...

So what’s really motivating the G.O.P. attack on the Fed? Mr. Bernanke and his colleagues were clearly caught by surprise, but the budget expert Stan Collender predicted it all. Back in August, he warned Mr. Bernanke that “with Republican policy makers seeing economic hardship as the path to election glory,” they would be “opposed to any actions taken by the Federal Reserve that would make the economy better.” In short, their real fear is not that Fed actions will be harmful, it is that they might succeed.


Rex Nutting at MarketWatch makes much the same point:
The Republican Party's leaders, from Rush Limbaugh and Sarah Palin all the way down to Mitch McConnell and John Boehner, escalated their Cold War against the Fed this week, with a not-too-subtle threat to put a tight leash on the Fed's independent economic policy making.

Incredibly, the Republicans are worried that the Fed is putting too much emphasis on attacking unemployment! With the official jobless rate at 9.6% and the underemployment rate at 17%, apparently the Fed has just been too vigilant. These Republicans would like to rewrite the Fed's charter so it doesn't pay any attention to economic growth at all.

Foreign leaders from China and Germany also blasted the Fed's latest moves to keep the U.S. economy growing by buying $600 billion in long-term Treasurys.

While many of the critiques of our central bankers are legitimate and serious disagreements about how effective the policies will be, or what the long-term unintended consequences of them might be, or who'll be the winners and who'll be the losers, much of criticism of the Fed is purely political. It's based on short-term self interest.

China, Germany and the Republican Party each believe they'll be stronger if the American economy is weaker. (They are wrong, but they believe it anyway.) Of course they want the Fed to fail.

Republicans are joining with foreign governments in an attempt to keep America weak. Amazing, isn't it? But it's not personal, of course (or maybe it is personal - personal ambition). They just want to make sure that Obama fails, whatever it does to our country.


Republicans are already willing to risk our nation's economy and our nation's security. So you have to wonder how they'd greet another successful terrorist attack on American soil. Would they be gleeful, seeing just another way to attack Barack Obama? Or would they worry that America might rally around our president, just as we did after 9/11?

Either way, it's hard to imagine that the good of our country would figure into their response at all. Clearly, that's... inconsequential, compared to their political ambitions.

I could be wrong, but every time I think that the Republicans can't possibly go much lower, they continue to surprise me.

3 comments:

Jim Harris said...

And it's interesting that these attack strategies are so personal. It's not that the Republicans are making the Democrats look bad, they specifically target Obama. Why?

I don't like to believe this idea, but I worry that all these white guys want to make a black guy look bad. I worry that this new policy of the conservatives is deeply racial at heart. I don't know. I hope not.

But I also have another theory. The liberals were relentless in their attacks on Bush, and now the conservatives are wanting payback, even though Obama has never made the mistakes Bush did.

Jim Harris said...

And I forgot something. What if the Democrats use this same shut-out technique when the Republicans take back over? Complete lack of cooperation is turning out to be very effective politically - but what happens if it becomes the norm?

Finally, if this political ploy actually does bring harm to the country, can it be consider treasonous?

Bill Garthright said...

You ask a number of interesting questions, Jim, so let me take them in order:

1) I think the GOP would be targeting any Democratic president, but they have a far easier time demonizing a black man. Republicans are overwhelmingly white and tend to be elderly, rural, and bigoted. Well, the GOP has made a deliberate point of appealing to white racists since 1964.

These people fear the demographic changes which continue to make America more diverse. That's where a lot of the hysteria about Barack Obama is coming from - including the lunacy about his birth certificate, accusations that he's a socialist and a Muslim, etc. But even people who aren't quite that crazy find it easy to believe the worst of a black man.

2) No, it's not payback. You forget the crazy right-wing attacks on Clinton (and the right forgets them, too - it's hilarious to see these people comparing Obama to that fine, upstanding Democrat, Bill Clinton).

And Democrats didn't attack Bush like this when he first took office, despite the controversy about his election. They thought he was a light-weight (true), but they didn't hate him. I certainly didn't. It took real effort for Bush to become so despised. With Obama, there were calls for his impeachment before he was even elected (I'm not kidding).

3) No, Democrats won't use the same technique when Republicans take over. Not a chance. For one thing, Democrats have never marched in lockstep very well. The right values obedience above all; not so the left. They're really not mirror images of each other.

And Democrats range from liberal to moderate to conservative and are quite diverse in race and religion. Republicans have kicked out anyone who's even moderate, let alone liberal, and they're overwhelmingly white and Christian. It's far easier to march in lockstep when you're all alike.

And finally, Democrats seem to be hopelessly timid. They went along with the worst excesses of the Bush administration because Bush was popular (at the time). Even now, they're still trying to get along, folding to one Republican demand after another. A bold Democrat seems to be a contradiction in terms.

But Republicans will continue to use these tactics as long as they work. As long as we Americans are dumb enough, fearful enough, and gullible enough to reward such tactics at the ballot box, they'll continue. Fundamentally, this is our fault.

4) Finally, re. your last question, I'm not going to fling accusations of treason around. That's a right-wing tactic. (Stephen Colbert makes fun of them by claiming that "Reason is just one letter away from treason.")

As is typical on the right, these people are just believing what they want to believe. And what they really want to believe is that their own political ambition is the best thing that could happen for America, no matter what temporary pain they might have to inflict to accomplish it.